# Learning Report — 2026-05-02 > ⚠️ **⚠️ LOW CONFIDENCE (< 20 resolved trades)** — metrics shown, but recommendations are low-confidence. ## 1. Overall Performance - Resolved triggered trades: **2** (of 5 triggered) - Wins: **1** | Losses: **1** - Win rate: **50.0%** - Avg RR-to-TP1 (winners): **n/a** - Avg RR-to-TP1 (losers): **1.07** ## 2. Target Accuracy | metric | value | | --- | --- | | TP1 hit rate | 0.0% (0/2) | | TP2 hit rate | 50.0% (1/2) | | SL hit rate | 50.0% (1/2) | | Avg TP1 distance from entry | 1.188% | | Avg TP2 distance from entry | 2.079% | | Avg SL distance from entry | 3.329% | ## 3. Move Quality _Max favorable/adverse are measured in price units from entry._ | metric | winners | losers | | --- | --- | --- | | Avg max favorable move | n/a | n/a | | Avg max adverse move | n/a | n/a | | Avg time to outcome (min) | n/a | n/a | ## 4. Target Verdicts **TP1:** n/a **TP2:** TP2 hit rate 50.0% — appears realistic. **SL:** n/a ## 5. Trigger Type Performance | trigger | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Breakdown confirmed | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | ## 6. Volatility Regime Performance | regime | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (none) | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | ## 7. AI Agreement Performance | bucket | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AI agreed | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | | AI disagreed | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | ## 8. BTC Correlation Performance | BTC bias | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (none) | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | ## 9. Liquidity / Squeeze Performance | squeeze risk | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | NEUTRAL | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | | (none) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | ## 10. Macro Risk Performance | macro risk | rows | resolved | win rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (none) | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | ## 11. Recommendations - No clear recommendations yet. Collect more data. > All recommendations are **LOW confidence** — only 2 resolved trades.